Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 79.999956 89.675415 99.573940 110.426663 121.960346 133.822771 146.916306
2025-03-09 65.775644 79.729761 94.637572 111.623396 130.319558 150.159027 172.692988
2025-03-16 55.641789 71.727451 89.492127 110.309720 133.793433 159.244238 188.696541
2025-03-23 49.577863 67.410191 87.665228 111.951801 139.886397 170.656352 206.767819
2025-03-30 44.907214 64.119133 86.499790 113.876556 145.889089 181.629336 224.056987
2025-04-06 39.615535 59.552810 83.393011 113.145081 148.501128 188.488040 236.473024
2025-04-13 34.210423 54.355710 79.116686 110.656509 148.744991 192.370591 245.270082
2025-04-20 32.372675 53.534571 80.057654 114.322512 156.154658 204.473343 263.466010
2025-04-27 30.140984 51.989953 79.934330 116.556356 161.754456 214.395955 279.096939
2025-05-04 26.953669 48.891898 77.624985 115.903393 163.726251 219.939818 289.539559
2025-05-11 23.962810 45.819577 75.153134 114.877947 165.106375 224.675940 298.950426
2025-05-18 21.870428 43.861815 74.022463 115.451711 168.372224 231.605987 310.910980
2025-05-25 19.634823 41.544501 72.318754 115.241157 170.663192 237.405558 321.618360
2025-06-01 17.903908 39.853299 71.374252 115.950593 174.064039 244.531223 333.914645
2025-06-08 15.737384 37.276769 69.042172 114.696625 174.876786 248.423311 342.269339
2025-06-15 14.619724 36.304862 68.924662 116.361556 179.387739 256.840474 356.084920
2025-06-22 13.679994 35.547826 69.062684 118.334151 184.272474 265.711750 370.457898
2025-06-29 12.112595 33.554629 67.276162 117.585101 185.562871 270.079051 379.320296
2025-07-06 10.268201 30.854958 64.281530 115.038167 184.404290 271.315661 384.295891
2025-07-13 10.013270 31.099674 65.774888 118.790076 191.559349 283.003122 402.132105
2025-07-20 9.455147 30.705829 66.246391 121.075736 196.762874 292.235562 416.959512
2025-07-27 8.332869 29.072283 64.691178 120.407669 197.985084 296.405030 425.516709
2025-08-03 7.243506 27.363346 62.921849 119.358434 198.641856 299.818736 433.111647